Autos autónomos – factible sí, pero falta

La pregunta típica a los geeks cuando sale algo de tecnología es ¿lo comprarías? y obviamente como “early adopter” analizo y pienso sobre si vale la pena, si espero, etc. pero hay varios dilemas.

Carro autónomo de Google

Carro autónomo de Google

Uno de ellos (la tecnología) tiene un dilema ético que por estos días se andan trabajando en las charlas, en las redes sociales y otros canales; Se trata de los carros / automóviles autónomos, o mejor dicho, aquellos que se conducen solos, no soy científico ni adivino, pero a continuación les cuento mi opinión al respecto.

Antes de entrar a decir si o no, primero un poquito de historia y definiciones que sirven para introducir el tema, en ese orden de ideas es importante saber que la búsqueda del carro que se conduce solo inició al final de los años 30 – 1939 (sip, llevamos varios años XD).

En ese momento se logró trazar una “autopista” basada en un circuito eléctrico donde un auto también eléctrico se desplazaba, este circuito estaba incrustado en el pavimento (info en Wikipedia – Vehículo autónomo).

Bajo esa misma temática se han planteado autopistas inteligentes que proporcionen información a sensores y por supuesto se han realizado pruebas, en este caso el problema sería el costo de la “actualización” de las autopistas – Eso sin contar con la realidad de nuestras autopistas.

Autopista del Café - Colombia 2009

Autopista del Café - Colombia 2009

La tecnología seguirá avanzando y eso es “facto”, así que el “problemita de la cantidad de datos a procesar” cada vez es menos problema, así que hoy contamos con sistemas integrados de GPS (posicionamiento), radares, cámaras (ya hay modelos con ellas instalados para parqueo y distancia con otros autos) y lidar (un radar que envía señales que rebotan, parecido al posicionamiento sónico de los murciélagos) entre otros – Ver descripción sobre cómo funciona un carro autónomo.

Así pues, llegamos a la realidad, el auto de Google

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cdgQpa1pUUE[/youtube]

Sobra decir que se han realizado cientos de pruebas a través de miles de kilómetros, incluso ya se le dio licencia para movilización en Nevada y no dudo que seguirá en desarrollo, sin embargo – y cómo siempre hay un pero debemos analizar los escenarios (en esto somos bastante HUMANOS).

Tal vez recuerde aquella película del Sr. Will Smith – Yo robot (en wikipedia)-.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xR3TT0nSORc[/youtube]

Aunque puedo decir que las famosas tres leyes de la robótica declaradas por Isaac Asimov son la base de ríos de tinta, no es cuestión de solo analizarlas:

  • Un robot no puede hacer daño a un ser humano o, por inacción, permitir que un ser humano sufra daño.
  • Un robot debe obedecer las órdenes dadas por los seres humanos, excepto si estas órdenes entrasen en conflicto con la Primera Ley.
  • Un robot debe proteger su propia existencia en la medida en que esta protección no entre en conflicto con la Primera o la Segunda Ley.

En la misma película, el atormentado protagonista sufría pesadillas debido a un accidente automovilístico donde estaba involucrado él mismo y una pequeña niña, él fue salvado por un robot quién determinó basado en estadísticas que habían mas probabilidades de salvarlo a él que a la niña quién en una de las tomas simplemente se hunde con el automóvil.

No hay error en la lógica, eso está claro, pero las preguntas de tipo:

  • ¿Yo merecía ser salvado antes que una niña?
  • Yo ya he vivido más que ella, ella tenía la vida por delante ¿hubiese sido mejor salvarla a ella?
  • ¿Cómo mirar a sus familiares a los ojos cuando yo fui el salvado?
  • ¿Otro ser humano tal vez hubiera intentado salvarla?

Es decir, la valoración de escenarios es bastante compleja incluso antes de la estadística misma, ¿cómo estar seguros que un robot antes de causar millones de dólares en destrozos, decida que es más importante la vida humana? – algunos concluirán en que es programación – por lo tanto quién definirá esa programación: ¿Una empresa? ¿El gobierno?

Obviamente no hemos visto el panorama de las fallas técnicas, es decir, que pasaría si hay falla técnica en algún sensor y se produce un siniestro – ¿de quién sería la culpa? ¿ estaría la empresa X creadora del robot dispuesta a pagar esos daños? y ¿si son humanos?

En algunos puntos de la película, nos muestran cómo el ser humano aún puede optar por una conducción manual (cosa que sería un error tremendo eliminarla) así que también está claro que no es tan “sano” pensar en un carro autónomo 100%.

Pero bueno, no quiero sonar como el que llama el apocalipsis, así que también es interesante ver algunas ventajas:

  • Conducción para personas con inmovilidad
  • Ya no será necesario el “chofer” – podrás llegar a tu empleo y el carro que se parquee solito  😉 – Tampoco se pondrá bravo si te tiene que recoger luego
  • Conductor elegido – se acabó el problema de disfrutar un rato con los amigos y jugarse o jugarle la vida a otra persona por capricho o por estupidez, el robot conducirá sin problemas a casa
  • En algunos casos registrados de ataques al corazón o personas con problemas, el carro podrá entrar en modalidad “auxilio” y llevar al ocupante a un hospital, de igual manera con el GPS se acabará el problema de no saber donde estamos o a donde vamos
  • Es casi seguro que la accidentalidad disminuye, ya que un procesador podrá tomar acciones y con mejores “reflejos” que un ser humano, también se podrán parquear más carros por espacios disminuidos
  • La velocidad promedio subirá, mas calidad de vida
  • Como ya no tendremos que preocuparnos por donde parqueamos (el carro buscará su sitio) podremos recoger a más personas y que el carro deje a cada uno en su trabajo – menos carros, menos polución y mayor aprovechamiento del combustible
  • Si no alcanzo los pedales, por edad, porque tienen tacones, porque no se tiene un miembro, etc – no será problema.
  • Sería interesante aplicar el concepto a transporte masivo (donde tienen carril exclusivo) y se pueden instalar todos los sensores que se requieran – (aunque aún hay algunos que violan estos espacios, pero eso es harina de otro costal).

Y podríamos seguir con nuestro análisis, que como ven es bastante interesante como para no pensar un rato en él – el caso es que ya tenemos carros autónomos haciendo recorridos, la tecnología está casi lista, ¿cuando tiempo entonces tendremos para hablar acerca de esta parte ética?

Y por fin contestando… si, lo compraría, pero asegurándome que podré conducir si quiero, manejando velocidades bajas y en un país donde todo el acceso a estas tecnologías esté listo – por ahora en Colombia no.

Ah y bienvenidos nuevamente, ando retomando mi blog que tenía un poco descuidado, pero con intenciones de continuar escribiendo sobre los temas que me apasionan- me encantaría escuchar sus comentarios.

Buen dia.

Acerca de morpheusco

Instructor con conocimientos de ecommerce, desarrollo y diseño de aplicaciones web Actualmente es docente de cátedra del programa de Comunicación Social y del programa Tecnología en Sistemas de la Universidad Tecnológica de Bolívar, uno de sus proyectos actuales es Cartagenaen3D escribió la columna tecnológica semanal para la Revista SOHO (en su versión online) como invitado. Autor de múltiples OVAS (Objetos Virtuales de aprendizaje), ebooks, tutoriales html y otros materiales y cuenta con certificaciones de nivel general y de tipo Microsoft y Adobe, participa activamente en comunidades como conferencista o como metiche XD.
Esta entrada fue publicada en Lupa digital. Guarda el enlace permanente.

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